Thomas Malthus back in 1798 came up with the theory
I think I may fairly make two postulata. First, That food is necessary to the existence of man. Secondly, That the passion between the sexes is necessary and will remain nearly in its present state. These two laws, ever since we have had any knowledge of mankind, appear to have been fixed laws of our nature, and, as we have not hitherto seen any alteration in them, we have no right to conclude that they will ever cease to be what they now are, without an immediate act of power in that Being who first arranged the system of the universe, and for the advantage of his creatures, still executes, according to fixed laws, all its various operations.
Assuming then my postulata as granted, I say, that the power of population is indefinitely greater than the power in the earth to produce subsistence for man. Population, when unchecked, increases in a geometrical ratio. Essay on the Principle of Population -Chapter 1.
Paul Ehrlich has taken up this theory into modern times. He published a book entitled the Population Bomb in 1968 and when his predictions failed he “updated” his theory in 1990 with the Population Explosion.
Today IMO more rational minds are at work.
A new documentary film called Demographic Winter: The Decline of the Human Family deals with the indicators that not only are we not going to undergo a population explosion, but there are strong trends that many cultures will radically decrease or possibly die out.The Heritage Foundation has the director of this film on media player here.
The world population increased from 3 billion in 1959 to 6 billion by 1999, a doubling that occurred over 40 years. The U.S. Census Bureau’s latest projections imply that population growth will continue into the 21st century, although more slowly. The world population is projected to grow from 6 billion in 1999 to 9 billion by 2042, an increase of 50 percent that will require 43 years.
Total Fertility Rate projected in 2045
To put it mildly – Europe is dying. The only industrialized nation on earth reaching the breakeven replacement value of 2.1 is the USA. We will reach 9 billion people in the world by 2050. But by 2100 it may well drop to 4.9 billion
Bishop Thomas Doran wrote last year Reaping the Whirlwind of Abortion .
If stats about the population say anything it’s that as a global society we have to protect the family(economically, spiritually, and legally). Abortion, contraception, divorce, the rise of cohabitation, families putting off procreation to pursue careers & euthanasia are going to place such a strain on those currently under 10 years of age, when they grow up and face a Europe with 1/3 the population over age 65 and when they die Europe’s population will be cut in half.
The USA while it is projected to hold replacement values, it has as a culture that supports all the factors that place pressure in lowering the fertility rate. The culture of death. Immigration won’t stop the decline.
Russia has started a program of paying couples to have children Can Russia Reverse its Demographic Crisis?
In May 2006, family allowances were doubled for the first child and multiplied by four for the second child. A one-time payment of 250,000 rubles ($9,700) will also be deposited in a special account after a second child is born, but will be released only when the child is three and its use is limited to expenses that will primarily benefit the child, such as tuition or mortgage payments.
The problem is it hasn’t worked at least not yet.
The Vatican has for decades not only decried the methods of human self-annihilation, but implored for support of the family.FAMILY, MARRIAGE AND “DE FACTO” UNIONS, and CHARTER OF THE RIGHTS OF THE FAMILY&FAMILIARIS CONSORTIO
The church is slow to adapt in many areas which is a strength and weakness, but because of its’ unwavering position against abortion, contraception, divorce and euthanasia has been the rock against humanity seeking to destroy itself.
Global mass migration, cloning as a way to stave off replacement rates, euthanasia to reduce the tax burden on the young. I don’t envy the young in their forced choices from flawed decisions of the baby boomers and gen-x er’s. Reaping the whirlwind indeed.
Updated: First Things also has a great article on it as well. The barren Left
Unlike the Black Death of the Middle Ages, which filled up the graveyards of the continent, the new epidemic of voluntary infertility empties out the maternity wards. And it is not the result of bacteria that infect our bodies but rather anti-natal thoughts that invade our minds. These are reinforced by an economic system that puts a premium on expanding the workforce at the expense of maternity, as well as a political system that weakens families, putting those with children at a financial disadvantage that is both unjust and shortsighted. The peoples of Europe, along with those of every other developed nation and many as yet underdeveloped, for some time now have been refusing to provide for the future in the most fundamental way—by providing the next generation…As a result, the current population of 728 million will plunge to only 557 million by the year 2050, a drop similar in magnitude to that occurring during the Black Death. At that point, Europe will be losing three to four million people a year. Three out of four Europeans will have disappeared by the end of the twenty-first century, when the population will number only 207 million. By then the population decline will be irreversible, with the surviving Europeans averaging more than sixty years of age.